Trump and the Threat of Invasion in Cuba

More than 50,000 lives were lost in that bloody confrontation. A study by the conservative and influential American think tank, The Heritage Foundation, asserts that the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Cuba (FAR) have 'obsolete weaponry' and that the Cuban government is allegedly weakened by anti-Castro campaigns. This military setback for the United States generated enormous political backing for Commander Fidel Castro among the Cuban masses and allowed his government to deepen the socialist character of the Revolution. It must be taken into account that the irrational aggression planned by the United States against Cuba would have adverse consequences for peace in the regional and subregional sphere. These voices are a clear warning that an armed aggression against Cuba could become a harsh setback for the interventionist forces that once fled from occupied Vietnam. Trump and the far-right elite that accompanies him believe Cuba is at its most vulnerable moment in history and think it is the opportune time to bury the Cuban people under rubble. President Donald Trump remains obsessed with invading Cuba. By David Carrasco, Director of Bayano digital. Plagued by a dreadful internal crisis and an international disrepute that pursues him on global stages, the President of the United States, Donald Trump, could take a wrong step and fall into a deadly trap if he invades Cuba. So have recognized renowned intellectuals, historians, and former high-ranking military officials who were dismissed for opposing the invasion of Iran. Undoubtedly, Cuba is in the prayers of this religious hierarch, as it once was in the heart of Francis, when in 2015 he walked inspired along the streets of Havana, to the chants of unity, peace, sovereignty, dignity, and the right to life. Cuba appeals to the right to legitimate self-defense. Nevertheless, other approaches from U.S. federal agencies refute this biased and simplistic version of the defensive capabilities of Cuban troops. Cuban FAR troops in a military parade on the island. The reality is that Cuba has deterrent capabilities of a defensive nature, has experience in asymmetric warfare doctrines, possesses effective air defense, and experience in drone handling. Such an escalation would imply an immediate and direct response against the naval base at Guantánamo Bay, in southeastern Cuba, which houses 1,200 U.S. personnel. Popular mobilization in Cuba against interventionism. If the bet on invasion materializes, the United States will see a new Vietnam emerge 90 miles from its territory. However, they forget that Marti's thinking is more relevant than ever in a people that has endured six decades of a criminal blockade and does not have the word 'surrender' in its vocabulary. Cubans march in Cuba against the blockade. Motivated by the results of the military incursion in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, and the numerous casualties of soldiers in the armed conflict in the Middle East, it could induce the obstinate American leader to commit a grave political and strategic miscalculation by invading Cuban territory. If Pete Hegseth, Trump's new U.S. Secretary of War, had read history, he would probably have recalled that the Battle of Gettysburg, in Pennsylvania, in July 1863, was the decisive turning point in the American Civil War, which stopped the invasion of the North by Confederate General Robert E. Lee. Its high-ranking officer corps, seasoned in combat, is trained in the concept of 'the war of the entire people' and the inalienable defense of national sovereignty. The first mistake of the United States was to think that the blockade it imposed on the island would break the Cubans and soften the defenses of the FAR. In this examination of a hypothetical military scenario, it is worth remembering the 32 Cubans who fell in the defense of Venezuela, for their example of commitment and tenacity. Their sacrifice, emulated by millions of followers, should be better studied by those who wish to bombard the 'Pearl of the Antilles,' in which the mambises (guerrillas of the Cuban Liberation Army that in the 19th century defeated the Spanish army) left their mark. At this crucial moment that the peoples of the world are going through, the Vatican's warning not to follow the path of interventionism acquires great resonance. In this sense, The New York Times highlighted in its pages that Pope Leo XIV, the first pontiff born in the United States, issued an unusual rebuke to Donald Trump, stating that it is 'truly unacceptable' for him to threaten to end 'all of civilization' in Iran. In defense of the world's peoples threatened with being demolished and crushed, the spiritual leader noted: 'there are certainly questions of international law here, but even more so, it is a moral issue that concerns the good of the people as a whole, in their entirety.' Likewise, Americans will be able to observe in real-time how arsenals of mines, unmanned systems, and rockets are opened. This underestimation could translate into a resounding defeat, something that already happened in 1961 at the Bay of Pigs.